Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Gold Price Rose 10 Cents today Closing on the Comex at $1,068.80

18-Nov-15PriceChange% Change
Gold Price, $/oz1,068.8010.000.94%
Silver Price, $/oz14.08-0.09-0.64%
Gold/Silver Ratio75.9091.1881.59%
Silver/Gold Ratio0.0132-0.0002-1.56%
Platinum Price847.50-7.10-0.83%
Palladium Price531.85-14.45-2.65%
S&P 5002,083.5833.141.62%
Dow17,737.16247.661.42%
Dow in GOLD $s343.061.600.47%
Dow in GOLD oz16.600.080.47%
Dow in SILVER oz1,259.7425.482.06%
US Dollar Index99.68-0.02-0.02%

3 Day Gold Price Chart
30 Day Gold Price Chart
5 Year Gold Price Chart
3 Day Silver Price Chart
30 Day Silver Price Chart
5 Year Silver Price Chart
In a flurry of high stakes trading the GOLD PRICE rose a superheated ten cents today to close Comex at $1,068.80. Silver lost nine cents to close at 1408c. Hot.

The SILVER PRICE 23.5 cent range today took it to a high at $14.22 and a low at $13.985. Fifteen down days running, and counting. Way oversold.

The GOLD PRICE hit $1,062.00 today, another post 2011 low, lower than the July low, but still refusing to break down. Only thing wondersome here is why silver and gold prices won't break down.

Gold Price
Here's a theory. Look at this chart, Other than showing gold extremely oversold (look at the RSI up top), it shows a falling wedge formed since 2013. The price of gold is right now tickling the bottom boundary of that wedge. If it falls through, it will fall a long way. Moving averages are line up bearishly, so to reverse gold needs to climb above those first. Also, it would be helpful if it stopped falling.

Silver Price
Probably not coincidentally, silver hath also traced out a 2-3/4 year falling wedge, even wedgier than gold's, Silver has not yet reached that wedge's bottom boundary, which appears to me to stand today around 1350c. Silver's in the selfsame case as gold. Either turn around and prove it by conquering those moving averages above, or fall though that line till the mud stops you.

Both metals are oversold and edging down on dropping volume. However, both are also locked in a 4-1/4 year downtrend.

I never saw two markets need PROOF so bad, proof they intend to turn around. I think they will, and I think it will happen here in November. But I still want proof.

Sorry I missed y'all yesterday, but I had to take my wife and son to a movie and supper. It was the last day to see "Bridge of Spies," which is an extremely engaging movie. Had shots of the Berlin Wall in 1960. When I was studying there in 1972-73 the East Germans had to install electric eyes to control the machine guns because the guards couldn't be trusted to shoot every time.

I miss communism almost as bad as I miss cholera.

Heaping insult on injury, now I have to live under central bank communism.

Markets were gassed again today by the hot and fetid breath of the Fed. October FOMC minutes were released showing a "solid core of officials rallied behind a possible December rate hike," according to Reuters. Markets overlooked that the FOMC criminals also debated whether the US economy's long term potential has permanently shifted lower. How's that for optimism?

But bulls hear what they want, and what they heard is -- I reckon -- that the Fed is bent on raising rates, so that must mean the economy is improving. Surprising reasoning, since the Fed raising rates historically drives the stock market lower. You! Logic! Shut up and sit down!

Without trying to make sense out of all that, note that the Dow rose 247.66 or 1.42% to 17,737.16. S&P500 jumped 33.14 (1.62%) to 2,083.58. As that places both indices above their 20 and 200 day moving averages, expect higher prices.

This doesn't change my persuasion that the stock market topped in May.

Today did post new highs in the Dow in Gold and Dow in Silver. Dow in gold hit 16.60 troy ounces versus July's high for the post-2011 low at 16.50 oz. Dow in silver closed 1,259.65 troy ounces versus July's 1,236.37. Without time passing there's no way to judge whether these are double tops or beginning of another advance, in which case the Christmas goose and I have something in common.

US dollar index, terrorist of scurvy fiat currencies, fell two basis points today. That does nothing to interrupt its present uptrend. All hail the Fed, Masters of the Universe, extraordinary economagicians!

In Europe, where they can't grow as robust a strain of central bankers, the euro rose 0.14% to a failing $1.0660. On its way to 90 cents? Yen fell 0.16% to 80.81. It's broken, too.

Aurum et argentum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
The-MoneyChanger.com

© 2015, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.