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Wednesday, September 26, 2012

The Gold Price Broke Support and Fell $13.20 to $1,750.60 Great Opportunity to Buy Gold On Sale

Gold Price Close Today : 1750.60
Change : -13.20 or -0.75%

Silver Price Close Today : 33.883
Change : -0.003 or -0.01%

Gold Silver Ratio Today : 51.666
Change : -0.385 or -0.74%

Silver Gold Ratio Today : 0.01936
Change : 0.000143 or 0.75%

Platinum Price Close Today : 1634.40
Change : 2.60 or 0.16%

Palladium Price Close Today : 624.70
Change : -15.00 or -2.34%

S&P 500 : 1,433.34
Change : -8.25 or -0.57%

Dow In GOLD$ : $158.39
Change : $ 0.69 or 0.44%

Dow in GOLD oz : 7.662
Change : 0.033 or 0.44%

Dow in SILVER oz : 395.88
Change : -1.26 or -0.32%

Dow Industrial : 13,413.59
Change : -43.96 or -0.33%

US Dollar Index : 79.90
Change : 23.800 or 42.42%

As yesterday I feared, the GOLD PRICE broke $1,755 support and tumbled. Today gold lost $13.20 to $1,750.60, while silver curiously refused to follow, closing on 3/10 cent lower at 3388.3. Odd.

The GOLD PRICE never broke $1,760 until nearly 8:00 a.m. Eastern time, then played the waterfall until 8:30, hitting the bottom pool at $1,738.58. It climbed on to vibrate between $1,750 and $1,740 until about 1:30 when it gapped up above $1,750, then closed 60 cents above $1,750. High came at $1,765.35.

That $1,740 level is the first small support below gold, and stretches to $1,720. Then comes $1,700 support, and beneath that the 200 day moving average ($1648.23) and 150 DMA (1,641.64). Also, the downtrend line, which coming down from above will act as support, stands now about $1,650 and dropping. For the Fibonacci-minded, a 38.2% correction happens at $1,712.66, a 50% at $1,688.77.

Any of those might catch gold's fall and end it. However, this shouldn't last too long, maybe a couple of weeks. The upcoming US election also clouds the outlook, since it's never quite clear how the public might react, although it will be clearly illogical.

The SILVER PRICE broke support above 3360c and on gold's same timetable dropped to a 3334 low. Oddly, it refused to capitulate, and after trading sideways until 11:00 a.m., gapped up about 1:30, made a high at 3402c, and ended the day only 3/10 cent lower.

Support around 3350c is proving stronger than expected. Expect silver to catch and stop falling around 3250 or 3100c. SILVER has been hugely overbought, so this correction is normal, predictable, and natural.

Don't panic. Markets go up, markets go down, our job is to identify and ride the primary trend, the tide, and not to let the little waves and storms confuse us. This correction merely offers us an opportunity to buy silver and gold On Sale.

Bailing out the banks is not a quiet or an easy business. Some of the "realizers" who see what's coming are raising a ruckus.

In Greece, where an ECB/IMF dictated austerity "reform" has already been put in place, people are desperate. Hundreds of thousands marched today in protest.

In Spain, the moment draweth nigh when the Spanish government must tell the ECB how much it needs to bail out Spanish banks and itself. Whoops -- but first, it must agree to the ECB-dictated austerity "reform." Tens of thousands of Spaniards, nervously eying what's happened in Greece, marched in protest. Head of the northwestern region of Catalonia is calling for a referendum to secede from Spain. (Why isn't he governor of Tennessee?)

Of course, bailing out the banks creates many new jobs, for more policemen are needed to beat up protestors.

Bailing out the banks is not easy, but it must be done. I forget WHY, but it must be done.

I like it better the way we do it in the US, where the Fed just keeps on printing money and sends us all down the drain quietly and without a lot of fuss and fanfare.

Y'all know what I'd like to see? I'd like to see one of those pointy-toed bankers or pointy-headed central bankers forced to put in one single day's real work. I think throwing hay would do it, following a trailer in the field picking up 80 lb. hay bales and throwing em up on the trailer to be stacked. Say, from about 7:30 a.m. till about 11:30 p.m., on a 95 degree day, but with breaks for dinner and supper, of course. I'm not inhuman. They could even wear gloves.

Time they got finished, they'd know better than to call what they do "work."

Wait, come to think of it, we need to give them an altogether new career breaking rocks permanently. And a bright orange jumpsuit to go with the job.

Enough of this fun, there's serious news to face. A group in England warns that the widespread drought in Russia and the US threatens a world wide bacon shortage. And those central bankers think a financial crisis is bad. Wait till they live through a bacon shortage! I'm not worried. We've got hogs galore, and make our own bacon -- no chemicals.

On the longer term chart the US dollar index has spent the last 9 days rallying up to the mid-channel support it fell through mid-September, about 79.75 today, It rose 23.8 basis points (0.31%) today to 79.90, but every gambler and his cousin will be selling the dollar at 80. Since the US Federal Reserve, the ECB, and the Bank of Japan have all recently announced more money printing, sanitized under the newly invented name of "Quantitative Easing," they are most likely co-ordinating their currencies' exchange rates so that they all lose value at about the same rate. That way you ignorant hoi polloi won't catch on what they're doing and avoid it by buying silver or gold or goats or anything that can't be debased by central bankers.

Here's something remarkable, witnessing to the manipulation I imply above. Remember I told y'all some time ago that central bankers' minds work in target ranges, and I bet their target range for the euro/$ and Yen/Dollar was 75 - 80. Today the yen closed at 128.69 cents to Y100, and the euro at $1.2857. Yep, that means $1 = Y77.71= E0.7779. Sharp marksmanship, Nice Government Men!

That rioting in Greece and Spain just depresses the tar out of stock investors. European indices all dropped. In the US stock indices tried to bounce, but were only as successful as an anvil dropped from 6 inches.

Shockwaves from the economic quakes in Europe rattled windows on Wall Street today. Something about seeing police beating hundreds of protestors with truncheons saps investors' optimism.

Dow lost 43.96 (0.33%) to 13,413.59 while the S&P500 trotted along even faster, losing 8.25 (0.57%) to 1,433.34.

In spite of this, the Dow in Gold Dollars is signaling that it intends to rally just a little. Today it rose to but not through its 200 DMA, and its MACD indicator turned positive. That hints gold has some tough days in front of it.

Overnight Rhode Island and Wyoming finally ordered At Home In Dogwood Mudhole, along with Croatia and Andorra. That concludes my Special 2 for 1 offer, and I deeply appreciate your response.

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Argentum et aurum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
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© 2012, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission.

To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold; US$ or US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose. No, I don't.