Gold Price Rose $4.50 Closing at $1,090.20

6-Aug-15	Price	Change	% Change
Gold Price, $/oz	1,090.20	4.50	0.41%
Silver Price, $/oz	14.67	0.12	0.85%
Gold/Silver Ratio	74.315	-0.324	-0.43%
Silver/Gold Ratio	0.0135	0.0001	0.44%
Platinum Price	950.50	5.10	0.54%
Palladium Price	592.50	6.80	1.16%
S&P 500	2,083.56	-16.28	-0.78%
Dow	17,419.75	-120.72	-0.69%
Dow in GOLD $s	330.30	-3.67	-1.10%
Dow in GOLD oz	15.98	-0.18	-1.10%
Dow in SILVER oz	1,187.44	-18.42	-1.53%
US Dollar Index	97.91	-0.13	-0.13%

3 Day Gold Price Chart

30 Day Gold Price Chart

5 Year Gold Price Chart

3 Day Silver Price Chart

30 Day Silver Price Chart

5 Year Silver Price Chart

Gold/Silver Ratio

The GOLD PRICE rose $4.50 to $1,090.20 and SILVER rose 12.4 cents to $14.67. All this does is move them up closer to the top of the range, but it ain't so bad, really. The GOLD/SILVER RATIO plunged 1.05% to 74.319. Listen, y'all, on 7 July the ratio made an intraday high at 77.95. Today it closed Comex at 74.319. It's in a well-established downtrend. Look at the chart.

Yet still no clear reversal signal from silver and gold prices. The GOLD PRICE has formed a pennant and is running out of time. Must break one way or th'other soon. Silver has drawn out a range from $15.00c to $14.25. We need some signal that removes all doubt. For starters, the price of gold must hold $1,180 and silver $14.25. Up above, gold price must break through $1,105 resistance and silver through $15. Actually gold needs a close above $1,094 first.

My outlook and feelings have been swinging back and forth like a German Shepherd trying to watch the ball at a tennis match. I try to wring that out of what I write, but I'm as easy to read as 28 point type. Yesterday silver and gold prices looked puke-green puny. With the dollar turning around yesterday and following through downside today and with silver and gold prices perkier today and stocks skidding, everything looks rosier. I got to throttle back and be patient. Reality is on our side, so we can afford to be patient.

US Dollar Index

Yesterday the US dollar index made a picture perfect downward reversal exactly with an intraday high almost exactly at the intraday high of the last high. Durn, that's one confusing sentence. Try this: On 29 July the Dollar Index' intraday high was 98.31. Next day it broke plumb down. It fell 5 days to 96.36, then began climbing. Yesterday high was 98.335, and today it dropped 13 basis points to 97.91. Looks like a double top. Shucks, y'all go look, chart on the right.

Most everything hangs on this Dollar Index. Should it drop from here and make a lower low than 96.36 (last low), it cancels the chance that the dollar will rise further. If it rises through 98.33, then the "dollar will keep rising" outcome is on. What happens to the dollar will affect silver and gold either like cholera or vitamin C.

Euro rose 0.19 to $1.0924 but that changes nothing, just the yen 0.11% higher at 80.18 says nothing.

Dow in Gold

How 'bout them stocks? Flying like a cast-ahrn ayrplayne. Dow plunged 120.72 (0.69%) to 17,419.75 and the S&P500 fell even more, 16.28 (0.78% to 2,083.56.

Dow in Silver

Mercy! Dow made a new intraday low at 17363! Stands way below its 200 DMA (17800) and below 17,400 will test its wings to see how many feathers it loses in a head down tornado. S&P500 hovers above its 200 DMA at 2,072.56, about 10 points below today's close, a small move from here.

YEEE-HAAAAH! Dow in gold crossed below its 200 DMA today, closing at 16 oz against the 20 DMA at 16.03. Yes, yes. All indicators point unequivocally down.

Dow in silver closed at 1,191.09 oz, also below its 20 DMA (1,200). Both the Dow in Silver and Dow in Gold are within a gnat's eyebrow of breaking their uptrend lines.

Aurum et argentum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
The-MoneyChanger.com

© 2015, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.