|Dow in GOLD $s||303.44||0.77||0.25%|
|Dow in GOLD oz||14.68||0.04||0.25%|
|Dow in SILVER oz||1,118.43||4.78||0.43%|
|US Dollar Index||95.38||-0.50||-0.52%|
I don't know Doug McKelvey and I've never been to Ponca City, Oklahoma, but I most earnestly urge you to read his essay, "100-Year Vision." He captures all we have been trying to do over the past 17 years to live on a 100 year time horizon.
When our community built a church, we built it to last and to be beautiful, specifically, to last at least 100 years. About everything we do and undertake, we try to ask, "What will this look like in 100 years? What will be the 100 year outcome?" McKelvey's article captures all that and more.
US dollar index tucked tail & ran again today. Lost 50 basis points (0.52%) to 95.38. Not to say it won't go higher or has stopped rising, but I wonder why it has been so weak and lazy on this rise.
Yen rose 0.51% to $1.1186 but the yen gapped up 1.09% to 91.31. I search for rationality in the currency markets, but in vain. Finding value there is like a water man trying to climb a water ladder out of an ocean. No traction.
Speaking of water, Stocks were underwater most of the day until the now-accustomed 3:00 "Friendly" time when Big Friends come in to buy so the indices will close up on the day. Why, yes, yes, the Dow rose 2.47 points (0.01%) to 17,789.67, having at one point been languishing nearly 125 lower at 17,665. S&P500 rose 2.37 (0.11%) to 2,099.33, coming up off a low of 2,085.10.
Lest ye be fooled, all these aforenamed tops come at lower levels than foregoing recent tops. Falling tops define a downtrend, I note in passing.
Gold got its head shaved today $2.90, down 0.2% to $1,211.90. Low today again fell at $1,206, so there are buyers clustered there, waiting. Whether they can overcome the sellers remains to be seen.
Silver fell back 6.6¢ (0.4%) to 1590.6¢. A lower low today came at 1583¢.
Gold fell from a high at $1,222.90 around 9:30 to $1,206+ at 1:00. The bounce afterwards wasn't convincing. Silver peaked about the same time, but didn't reach at 1583¢ low until 1:30. Both are simply weak & dropping; indicators do not yet signal a turnaround.
Not really anything clever to say today. The Gold/Silver Ratio closed Comex at 76.191, and has climbed back to that lower range boundary it fell through in April. Chart is here, http://schrts.co/kh9gOy
That Gold/Silver Ratio has reached its 200 DMA. That may satisfy the correction due from its long fall from 84.38 at end-march to 70.40 at end April. Yes, it might rise to 77.42 for a 50% correction.
It catches my eye that the Ratio has formed an up-pointing or rising wedge. That usually resolves earthward. Keep an eye on it. That nearly complete pattern may be pointing to the end of the silver & gold correction.
Aurum et argentum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.
- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
© 2016, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.
WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:
Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.
NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.
NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.
NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.
What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.
One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.