Monday, March 26, 2012

Gold Price Closed at $1,685.60 Strong Resistance Awaits at $1,705

Gold Price Close Today : 1685.60
Change : 23.20 or 1.40%

Silver Price Close Today : 3272.6
Change : 47.8 cents or 1.48%

Gold Silver Ratio Today : 51.506
Change : -0.044 or -0.09%

Silver Gold Ratio Today : 0.01942
Change : 0.000017 or 0.09%

Platinum Price Close Today : 1647.70
Change : 21.50 or 1.32%

Palladium Price Close Today : 668.00
Change : 8.80 or 1.33%

S&P 500 : 1,416.51
Change : 19.40 or 1.39%

Dow In GOLD$ : $162.39
Change : $ (0.00) or 0.00%

Dow in GOLD oz : 7.856
Change : 0.000 or 0.00%

Dow in SILVER oz : 404.62
Change : -0.39 or -0.10%

Dow Industrial : 13,241.63
Change : 180.90 or 1.39%

US Dollar Index : 78.93
Change : -0.357 or -0.45%

GOLD PRICE jumped up when Bernanke was slapping the dollar, which was no surprise to anyone with an IQ greater than the temperature of his feet on a cold day. GOLD PRICE gained $23.20 on top of Friday's $20 gain to close at $1,685.60, and has now reached the bottom of the range where it fell away.

The GOLD PRICE has gained $43.20 in the last two days, 2.63%, from last Thursday $1,642.30. Mmmmm.

The GOLD PRICE hit a $1,693.30 high today, plus closing above its 200 day moving average (1,683.66). Momentum is plainly up, but gold again meets its 150 DMA ($1,708.36) at $1,708.36, where strong resistance also awaits ($1,705).

But who knows? Maybe last week we saw Gold's low for the move? Right now gold has its dander up, so expect higher prices tomorrow. Gold needs that close above the 150 DMA to prove it has finished its correction.

SILVER PRICE closed the Comex at 3272.6c. In the last two trading days silver has added 140.7c (4.5%). Today it augmented (that's for you engineers out there) 47.8c.

Today buoyed silver up to that internal support/ resistance line, but its 3304c high also reached for the 20 (3345c) and 50 (3333c) day moving averages. For the present I'm working on a tentative theory that both silver and gold bottomed last week, but that will only be proven when this move falters and falls back to a slightly HIGHER low than the last one.

Hang on. Silver and gold are turning exciting.

The comrades on the supreme court, known affectionately here as "The Supremes," are hearing a gang of lawsuits on Obamacare. Let me cut to the bone for you right here: no way congress can "mandate" you buy life insurance, a hamburger, a Chevrolet, or anything else, The Supremes notwithstanding.

Listen here: if you have to sign something to participate, they can't mandate it.

Think about it: You murder somebody with a meat ax. The police come to arrest you. At any point in the proceeding, will anybody present you with a contract proving you signed promising that you will not kill anybody with a meat ax? Nope.

It is therefore MANDATORY that you not kill people with a meat ax.

However, to buy the "mandated" insurance, you will have to sign a contract. If government can make you sign anything, then you are not free.

Same argument applies to social security: did you have to SIGN something, something called an "application," before you got a social security number? What would have happened had you NOT signed? Would they have given you a number anyway?

Like I said, the yankee government can NOT make you buy insurance, medical or otherwise.

TODAY gave us another example of how the Fed destabilizes markets. The Bernancubus made statements the market interpreted as soft on inflation. That broke the dollar's back and sent stocks jumping high, and boosted silver and gold. The Bernancubus is the same old drunk driver, slamming on the brakes, then pushing the gas pedal to the floor. Here's the irony so bitter it makes you want to spit: they claim that a central bank stabilizes markets.

I will not even touch, as a subject too painful for honest and rational minds to dwell on, how badly the Fed's jimmying interest rates lower destabilizes the entire economy and guarantees future poverty.

Highest Dow close for this move took place on 15 March at 13,252.76, and for the S&P500 on 19 March at $1,409.59. Today the Dow added 180.9 (1.23%) to close at 13,241.63 while the S&P500 added 19.4 (1.39%) to 1,416.51. For the S&P500 that was also a marginal new intraday high, but not for the Dow.

In other words, rather than first steps on a new rally, this may mark the opposite, a deadly double top.

How can we tell? If not a double top, tomorrow stocks will advance, should advance strongly. If they piddle, then drop below 13,000, standing under them will be like standing on a sidewalk watching piano movers hoist up a piano on a pulley. Nothing good will be coming your way.

Stupid people are not necessarily evil, but evil people can sometimes look stupid to those who don't know they are evil. Take for instance Bernanke's statements today, and I am not saying Bernanke is personally evil any more than being involved in any fundamentally, irretrievably evil institution makes one evil. I suppose you might work for the Mafia and be a really good person, but it doesn't seem likely.

Anyhow, since I presuppose to virtual certainty that central bankers do to markets what they INTEND to do, I suppose the Nice Government Man Mr. B. WANTED to knock the US dollar index down. Dollar dropped like your mother-in-law's opinion of you when you showed up for Thanksgiving dinner sloppy drunk, just about the time NGM Bernanke was stating his statement. Broke that 79.40-79.30 level that had been supporting it and ended up down 35.7 basis points to 78.928 (-.4%).

Of course, I'm as enthusiastic about the dollar as I am about cholera, and like the euro almost as much as smallpox. The yen ranks around pneumonic plague. But I digress, because all are so patently vile.

The dollar's fall goosed the euro above its 20 DMA but only to the downtrend line. Closed at $1.3356 or up 0.65%, so all y'all planning a trip to France will be paying more (unless you were clever enough to buy GOLD instead of vile paper currencies

-- integrity occasionally has its rewards). In Japan the NGM must be worrying that the yen was about to recover after its extended plunge, so despite the dollar's tumble, the yen tumbled, too, down 0.6% to 120.74/Y100 (Y82.82/US$1). No matter, the yen has still pointed its nose skyward.

Argentum et aurum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
10:00am-5:00pm CST, Monday-Friday

© 2012, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission.

To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold; US$ or US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.