Friday, May 18, 2012

The Gold Price Turned Around Rising $17.10 on top of Yesterday's $38.30 to Close $1,591.60

Gold Price Close Today : 1,591.60
Gold Price Close 11-May : 1,583.60
Change : 8.00 or 0.5%

Silver Price Close Today : 28.69
Silver Price Close 11-May : 28.85
Change : -0.16 or -0.6%

Platinum Price Close Today : 1,457.10
Platinum Price Close 11-May : 1,469.10
Change : -12.00 or -0.8%

Palladium Price Close Today : 603.25
Palladium Price Close 11-May : 602.95
Change : 0.30 or 0.0%

Gold Silver Ratio Today : 55.48
Gold Silver Ratio 11-May : 54.89
Change : 0.58 or 1.01%

Dow Industrial : 12,442.49
Dow Industrial 11-May: 12,855.04
Change : -412.55 or -3.3%

US Dollar Index : 81.50
US Dollar Index 11-May : 80.18
Change : 1.32 or 1.6%

THIS WAS THE WEEK THAT THE SILVER & GOLD PRICE TURNED AROUND. Ahh yes, the day dawned, the sky cleared, and that support at $1,526.70 HELD. Do I flatter myself, or did the entire mood in the metals' markets change? Our phones have been ringing off the wall, well, off the desk.

Today the GOLD PRICE gold rose another $17.10 on top of yesterday's $38.30 to close Comex at $1,591.60. Gold rapped on the door of $1,600 with a $1,597.50 high. To maintain this V-bottom pattern, gold must climb quickly through $1,600, $1,630, & then the killer $1,682. Look for at least two of those barriers to fall next week.

Stop waiting to buy gold & silver. Do it NOW.

SILVER PRICE held that support from Oct 11 & Dec 11 (2615c). Low came at 2673c on Wednesday. Silver must now advance through 2900 & jump right smart toward 3000c. Tougher battles will be fought at 3150c.

That's it. That confirms the December low was indeed the low. That turns silver & gold's direction upward again. Only closes below 2673c & $1,526.70 could gainsay that conclusion.

With the lows in silver & gold the GOLD/SILVER RATIO TOPPED at 56.540. Today it floats still at 55.468. If you have not yet swapped gold for silver, you must act quickly. The ratio can fall fall with blinding rapidity. Do not miss this opportunity to set yourself up for another gigantic profit-in-ounces when the ratio again falls to where 28 silver ounces will buy one gold ounce, instead of 55.468.

This week marked the turning point for this correction. Now silver & gold have turned their faces up, toward those old highs at $1,927 & 4982c. Climb aboard, or miss the ride!

Facebook's IPO fell flat on its face today, down several times as low as the $38 offering price, & up on the day only 1%. Not a blistering success when IPO's usually gain 10 - 15%. That's a sour comment on investor interest and the mood of the stock market.Yesterday I warned y'all -- natural born fool from Tennessee that I am -- that the euro was "monstrously oversold" ought to watch for a sudden rally. It happened today, when the euro rose 0.66% to $1.2778. Eyeing a record short position, traders bailed out -- or were squeezed out -- before the G8 summit this weekend. Y'all already know how those Nice Government Men like weekend surprises.

First half of this year mine was probably the only voice in the known universe -- well, one of the few anyhow -- warning y'all that the stock market rally was a trap. The trap has been sprung, & I don't look near about so foolish now. Not that I'm the brightest bulb in the box, I just read labels before I drink contents.
Label on this stock market is "BEAR: Primary Downtrend. Caution, can be hazardous to your solvency & your retirement."

S&P500 touched 1,291 today. Now why would I mention that price? I'm right glad y'all asked. The S&P500 formed a head & shoulders topping pattern beginning in February, and two weeks ago fell through the neckline, signalling a breakdown. From that breakdown at 1,360, it has dropped 8 of the last 9 days, & today opened the trap door at 1,300 & jumped through, closing down 9.64 (0.74%) at 1,295.22. But why 1,291? Because that was the top of the last wave up in November. Should it pierce that support, this battle will get bloody indeed.

The Dow, which closed today at 12,369.38 (down 73.11 or 0.47), took longer to complete its head & shoulders but falling 12 out of the last 13 days helped a bunch.
Dow broke that neckline (about 12,650) two days ago and fell like a drunk at a bar knocking back one too many Tequila shooters.

Both the S&P500 & the Dow are nearing their 200 day moving average (Dow's is now 12,199 & S&P's is 1,278.22) which ought to provide some support for a bounce. After that, doom will resume.

US DOLLAR INDEX fell 36.8 basis points (0.47%) today to 81.125. High came at 81.758, which pert near matches the January peak at 81.78. Not clear to me yet whether the dollar will keep on rallying through 81.78 after a correction. Yen jumped broad and high yesterday and today, up 0.36% today to 126.57c/Y100 (Y79.00/US$1).

I keep picturing a stranger from outer space. He lands on my farm and wants me to tell him about our world. I try to put the best face on things that I can, but he keeps going back to the monetary system: "You use WHAT for money?" I'm so embarrassed I want to dig a hole and crawl in.

I will be away on a cruise from tomorrow through June 1. I won't be publishing commentaries during that time, but the turnaround in silver & gold make your course plain anyway.

Y'all enjoy your weekend!

Argentum et aurum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
10:00am-5:00pm CST, Monday-Friday

© 2012, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission.

To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold; US$ or US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose. No, I don't.