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Monday, July 15, 2013

Silver and Gold Prices Rose — Gold Price Closing at $1,283.80

Gold Price Close Today : 1283.80
Change : 6.00 or 0.47%

Silver Price Close Today : 19.826
Change : 0.047 or 0.24%

Gold Silver Ratio Today : 64.753
Change : 0.149 or 0.23%

Silver Gold Ratio Today : 0.01544
Change : -0.000036 or -0.23%

Platinum Price Close Today : 1422.50
Change : 12.90 or 0.92%

Palladium Price Close Today : 731.05
Change : 9.45 or 1.31%

S&P 500 : 1,682.50
Change : 2.31 or 0.14%

Dow In GOLD$ : $249.33
Change : $ (0.85) or -0.34%

Dow in GOLD oz : 12.061
Change : -0.041 or -0.34%

Dow in SILVER oz : 781.01
Change : -0.85 or -0.11%

Dow Industrial : 15,484.26
Change : 19.96 or 0.13%

US Dollar Index : 83.081
Change : 0.150 or 0.18%

GOLD PRICE gained six paper dollars (0.47%) to $1,283.80 while the silver gained 4.7 cents (0.24%) to 1982.6c.

Listen, y'all, ponds can stagnate but markets can't. They never stay flat for long. Floating along here below $1,300 resistance is not positive for gold. It looks stalled.

In gold's favor, it has now closed three days above its 20 day moving average ($1,272.43) and it stands above its downtrend line from the April highs. Yet it has not yet climbed above the downward upper channel line it has formed since the May high. Nor has it blasted through $1,300/$1,325 resistance. If the GOLD PRICE lounges here too long, it will fall off the couch.

The SILVER PRICE hath also three days closed above its 20 DMA (now 1975c), but has not yet thrown a leg over its downtrend line from the April high.

Yep, I know I sound like a carper, but the plunges beginning in April have done lots of damage to the metals. Twill take lots of work to repair that damage.

Oh, nothing has changed long term. Silver and gold prices remain in a primary uptrend (bull market), and the best is yet to come. They just have to rumble over this rough spot.

In the Lunatic Asylum called the United States, here's an example of what passes for sanity. One Senator Kay Hagan, a North Carolina Democrat, has sponsored legislation that would dissolve Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government sponsored entities that cornered the market on making mortgages and added jet fuel to the real estate bubble. If it just stopped there, who would complain? But that would be sound reasoning and sanity, which have no place in America and certainly not in the US congress. Her bill would also found a new "Federal Mortgage Insurance Corporation" like the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, only to insure banks against their losses in mortgages.

The reasoning runs something like this: government entities have been SOOO successful in the mortgage field, that we need another, even bigger one to bail out the banks in case of another mortgage bubble.

Is there not even a single pea-brain in Washington who can see that the CAUSE of bubbles is government meddling in the economy?

Never mind, that's not the real point of this legislation. The real point is the "Garbage Can." You can count on a natural born fool from Tennessee not to church up and sugar coat what's really going on. It's simple: follow the money. Cui bono? Who benefits? Whose palm is greased?

Remember the Savings and Loan Crisis back in the early 1990s? The government applied the "Garbage Can" solution: create a garbage can where you can dump all the worthless securities, let them ferment and fester a while, and maybe some of 'em will make good. Meanwhile, you've gotten them off the banks' balance sheet and charged up the banks for the next bubble.

What's most incredible is that Bernanke has turned the Fed into the Garbage Can for the mortgage bubble. Think -- what's he buying? Mortgage Backed Securities. What was rotting fastest in the mortgage bubble's wake? Mortgage Backed Securities. Hagan's plan to scrap Freddie and Fannie and create a federal mortgage insurer no doubt belongs to a plan to bail the Fed out of all that bad paper, creating a new Garbage Can.

Shucks! I left out the best part: the point of the garbage can is always to dump all the losses where they belong, on the taxpayers' backs.

Finally, for folks who don't even have as much sense as a natural born Tennessee fool, what evidence CLINCHES my conspiracy theory? Who's backing Hagan's plan? Why, the NC banking, credit union, and realtor associations, as well as the National Assn. of Home Builders. Folks, where that many hogs are gathered, there's bound to be a trough somewhere.

There's more. 5 Republicans and 3 other democrats on the banking committee favor this. "Bipartisan" is virtually a synonym for "the banks want it."

How long are y'all gonna stand for this?

In today's markets not a whole lot happened. Stocks rose a smidge, silver and gold rose, dollar rose, but nothing rose enough to cross any milestones. Yet.

Stocks managed a face saving rise. Dow added 19.96 (0.13%) to 15,484.26. S&P edged up 2.31 (0.14%) to 1,682.50. They are fulfilling a gigantic head and shoulders top that stretcheth back to 1997, which itself fulfills a 300 year wave in stocks. The break will bring more pain that we can imagine -- but not yet. Not just yet. Will need higher highs to generate even more one-sided mania.

In spite of new nominal highs in stock indices today, the Dow in gold and Dow in silver actually dropped. Dow in gold ended at G$249.33 gold dollars (12.061 oz), down 0.34%. Dow in silver swayed 0.85 ounce (-0.11%) to end at 781.01 oz. They still appear to be rolling over gravity-ward.

US dollar index also saved face today by climbing back above 83. Ended up 15 basis point (0.19%) at 83.081. Euro barely moved, down 0.03% to $1.3064. Yen dropped 0.63% and damaged its infant uptrend, but not fatally. Dollar's rise is not over.

Argentum et aurum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
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© 2013, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission.

To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold; US$ or US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose. No, I don't.