|Gold Price, $/oz.||1,245.60||1,252.10||6.50||0.5|
|Silver Price, $/oz.||18.653||18.963||0.31||1.7|
|Dow in Gold Dollars (DIG$)||277.44||279.42||1.98||0.7|
|Dow in gold ounces||13.42||13.52||0.10||0.7|
|Dow in Silver ounces||896.22||892.49||-3.73||-0.4|
|US dollar index||80.43||80.43||0.00||0.0|
The GOLD PRICE lost a nothing 90 cents today to close at $1,252.10, but it's above $1,250. Way up above at $1,275 stands the 20 day moving average, first milestone that will prove gold has turned its face skyward. Really the gold price needs to rise above $1,280 where it broke down. $1,295 and the 200 dma would be better still.
The RSI shows the gold price rising up from a severely oversold condition. Full stochastics have been as oversold as they've been in the last 12 years. MACD is trying to turn up. But all this must be confirmed by the only indicator that counts: higher price.
The SILVER PRICE dropped 9.2 cents to 1896.3c, but traded most of the say above 1900c. As with gold price is the only indicator that counts in the end. For silver, that means climbing above 1950c, then over 2050c.
Both silver and GOLD PRICES seasonally post lows in June-July, so we might see one spike move down. Everything is in place, however, for a reversal -- they just haven't reversed yet.
If I told y'all that silver rose more than the Dow or the S&P500 last week, y'all would tell me I was lying and throw a pop bottle at my head, but just you look. Silver rose 1.7% this week but the Dow only rose a piddling 1.2% and the S&P500 rose 1.3%. Those are just the numbers. Gold rose 1/2% while the US dollar index stayed plumb pancake flat, didn't move ne'er a hair. Platinum rose only 30 cents.
I reckon it makes a difference who writes the headlines. Which reminds me, who gets to pick the news? Did y'all notice that whatever some lamebrain in New York or Washington says is news is what they spotlight? Obama Administration is good at this, floating a new crisis every week as "news" when actually it's either "olds" or just their agenda.
But the news from the yankee government was good today for Wall Street, the unemployment is steady and jobs have grown by over 200,000 a month for the last three months. Now if you all have never heard SHAMELESS LYING before you heard it from this lying report. I'm just a nacheral born fool from Tennessee, but I know to go to the St. Louis Fed's database Fred and look up Civilian Labor Force Participation and see that it's now at 62.9%, against a high in July 1997 (right, 17 years ago) of 68.1%. 62.9 is itself a level not seen since May 1978.
Then I went and read what John Williams of www.shadowstats.com had to say. John is an expert in unravelling their statistical lies, and he says unemployment is closer to 23% and the gimmicks the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses overstate job growth by 200,000 a month.
But welcome to America, where the truth don't count, only the illusion of an economy. Stocks rose again to new highs, the eighth out of the last 10 days for the S&P500. It rose 8.98 (0.46%) to 1,949.44. Dow rose 88.17 90.52%) to 16,924.28. Both have now poked through overhead resistance lines. They could break down here -- new highs on 8/10 days is not a sequence nature encourages -- or they could go wilder still, although both have reached overbought territory. But overbought can get overboughter still. The end lieth not far away.
About now it's getting time to sell stocks and put the proceeds into silver and gold. The Dow in Gold today rose 0.59% to end at 13.51 oz (G$279.28 gold dollars), a new high for the move since March, but not nearly the high for the move, which remains 13.80 oz (G$285.27) last December. It's likely forming a double top here, but that has to be confirmed by a reversal.
Dow in Silver gained 0.66% to end at 890.75 oz (S$1,151.35). It has bounced off its upper resistance line this week, but needs to drop through the 20 DMA (866.37 oz) to confirm a reversal. I don't expect it can get higher than 912 oz (S$1,179.15), and may have already turned.
Wasn't a shining week for the US dollar index. Yesterday's announcement from the criminals at the ECB sent the dollar up first to 81.07, then it collapsed all the way to 80.39 Today it ended where it began the week, at 80.43, just above the 20 DMA at 80.31, but below the 200 DMA at 80.48. Has the dollar aborted its uptrend? I don't know, but watch 80.20, even 80.05, the 50 DMA. It ought to hold those if it aims to rise.
Euro collapsed from 1.3993 in early may all the way to $1.3503 when it bounced back yesterday. Today it lost 0.13% to $1.3645. The enthusiasm spawned by the ECB's announcement it would inflate the snot out of the euro will wear off in two weeks at most, and it will commence sinking again.
The yen continues to slide sideways, losing 0.11% today to 97.55, below all its moving averages. Yet the yen abideth still in the same range it hath inhabited since 2014 began, from 94.83 to 99.24. Nothing happening here.
The 10 year treasury yield in the last week has been working to undo its breakdown in early May. Remember that suppressing interest rates is the key to the central banks' house of cards. Once the market takes control and starts raising rates, the central banks are cooked. Watch thos einterest rates for the first sign of trouble.
On 6 June 1934 US President Franklin Roosevelt signed the Securities Exchange Act establishing the Securities and Exchange Commission so that wholesale fraud upon the American public could be supervised by government authorities.
Next week I will be travelling so won't publish commentaries any day but Monday, unless I just have time and take a notion.
Y'all enjoy your weekend!
Aurum et argentum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.
- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
© 2014, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.
WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:
Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.
NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.
NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.
NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.
What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.
One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.