|Gold Price, $/oz||1,290.50||10.90||0.85%|
|Silver Price, $/oz||20.03||0.36||1.84%|
|Dow in GOLD $s||265.47||-1.61||-0.60%|
|Dow in GOLD oz||12.84||-0.08||-0.60%|
|Dow in SILVER oz||827.37||-13.17||-1.57%|
|US Dollar Index||80.39||0.15||0.19%|
The GOLD PRICE added $10.90 (0.85%) & Silver jumped up 36.2 cents (1.8%) to 2003.1c. Ratio dropped from 65.057 yesterday to 64.425.
Look more closely. Silver stayed under 1990c until 9:00, when somebody big said, "Buy!" Vaulted to 2015c, then stayed flat most of the rest of the day, but trailed off at the end.
The GOLD PRICE followed a like pattern, flat around $1,284 until 9:00 when the buying dogs were loosed. Popped up in an hour and a half to $1,294. I'm a little concerned it couldn't make it through $1,295, which is the bottom of the resistance range spreading from $1,295 to $1,300. Yet that's all in order. Hard to punch through resistance at the first try.
The SILVER PRICE is leading this move up, and that's a good sign. Still, silver & gold prices need to confirm higher goals by other indicators. A close above $1,305 tomorrow wouldn't hurt.
Silver & gold upturn is fragile and tender yet, but there on the chart. Just hide and watch.
If I wanted to watch a wholly bogus stock, I would watch Facebook (FB), maker of nothing, producer of nothing, founded on nothing, light as air, hitchhiker on the ephemeral & unreal. Like Apple (AAPL) before it Facebook seems to have fallen from grace lately. After reaching 72.59 in early March, it tanked to 57.98 (down 20%) and fell below its 20 DMA, 50 DMA, and uptrend line. It is trying now to climb back through that line. A stock this bogus in a market this bogus is bound to wind up a dead canary on the bird cage floor before the mine fills with poison gas. Mercy, it may have already done that.
But then, how much does a nacheral born durned fool from Tennessee know next to them Wall Street smarties who've been picking y'all's pockets so efficiently for so many years?
By the way, my goofy theory is that Facebook's has succeeded because it is actually a US government front. How else could they get y'all to spill your guts about all your life and secrets AND put it into the public domain? Brilliant move for a police state. WARNING: I'm a durn fool, so don't pay no attention to my goofy theory.
'Twas a lackluster day for stocks with a zootz toward the end that took the S&P500 to a new high. Dow rose 40.39 (0.24%) to 16,573 while the S&P500 climbed/clumb 5.38 (0.29%) to 1,890.90.
I expect stocks will move yet higher, but here's a little warning lecture about such moves anyway. Both indices have timidly broken above three month old resistance, good enough, but sometimes such little pin punctures fade. Look more closely and inwardly. Dow's high today was 16,588.19, versus 16,588.25 on 31 December 13, but it couldn't close quite as high as it did then, by 3 points. S&P500 had made two highs at 1,883.57 and 1,883.97 earlier, and a high today at 1,893.17. As I said, stocks will probably keep rising, but sometimes these moves have a way of slapping you in the back of the head, so you have to watch closely.
Mmmmm. Today might have marked the end of the upward correction in the Dow in Metals. Dow in gold dropped 0.59% to 12.84 oz (G$265.43 gold dollars), just shy of a 61.8% correction. Full stochastics are rolling over earthward. Dow in Silver has made (as of yesterday) an 86.8% correction of the December - February drop. Closed today LOWER BY 1.31% at 826.58 oz (S$1,068.70 silver dollars). BE WARNED: I am anticipating here. No full evidence of a downturn, yet it seizeth my eye that the day stocks hit new highs, the indicators turn down.
Well, well, the US dollar, destroyer of nations & middle class capital, turned around today, rose 15 basis points (0.19%) and closed at 80.39. It really needs to climb above 80.50 to turn up, but this at least lodged it above the 50 DMA (80.32). Might rise after all. Euro passed out again, down 0.2% to $1.3764, dashing whatever fragile hopes it had yesterday raised from the dead. Yen has fled in a full scale rout, down another 0.2% today to 96.28 cents per 100 yen. That closes below the last low at 96.38 cents.
US Ten Year Treasury note yield also jumped a meaty 1.6% today to 2.803%. T-note yield has been congested and skrunched up in a narrow range, but after proving in February that it was indeed headed higher (it bounced off a lower range boundary line), it gapped up today. Must close above 3.036 to attract attention, but it will.
Copper has fought its way back up to $3.05, but requires a close higher than $3.25 to prove it does not intend to visit the earth's core.
On 2 April 1792 the US Congress passed the Coinage Act which made the dollar of silver (371.25 grains fine silver or 0.7734 troy ounce fine silver) the standard coin, with smaller halves, quarters, dismes [sic] & half-dismes. The act also provided for gold coins or "eagles" not denominated in but valued in dollars. The eagle was "valued at" $10 and contained 247-1/2 or 0.5156 troy ounce fine gold. There were also half and quarter eagles. Dr. Edwin Vieira describes this system as "symmetalism" because the system allowed for using both metals and adjusting only one coin for changes in the world gold/silver ratio. Those changes were made in the 1830s, but without cheating anyone. That was a right different government in those days. When the coin lost its integrity, so did the nation.
On 2 April 1914 the US Federal Reserve Board announced plans to divide the country into 12 districts, symbolic, no doubt, of its conquest. When the coin lost its integrity and independence, so did the nation.
Argentum et aurum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.
- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
© 2014, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.
WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:
Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.
NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.
NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.
NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.
What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.
One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.