|Gold Price, $/oz||1,153.30||-1.90||-0.16%|
|Silver Price, $/oz||15.30||-0.14||-0.91%|
|Dow in GOLD $s||323.59||1.89||0.59%|
|Dow in GOLD oz||15.65||0.09||0.59%|
|Dow in SILVER oz||1,180.36||15.70||1.35%|
|US Dollar Index||96.78||-0.21||-0.22%|
|3 Day Gold Price Chart|
|30 Day Gold Price Chart|
|5 Year Gold Price Chart|
|3 Day Silver Price Chart|
|30 Day Silver Price Chart|
|5 Year Silver Price Chart|
All the same, the price of gold has formed a bullish falling triangle (chart on the right). I say "bullish" because these triangles usually resolve upwards. A close tomorrow above $1,160 breaks the gold price out of that wedge. A fall through $1,130 would, too.
My operating theory in the teeth of all the calls for a gold price at $750 and silver price at 800 cents remains that you are now witnessing, or have just witnessed, the intersection of several cycles with the seasonal lows in silver and GOLD PRICES. This ought to mark the lows in the bear phase that seized silver and gold after the 2011 highs. I may be left looking stupid, but I won't lack an opinion.
To understand the world's present financial and government system, you must understand the concept "harvesting." Harvesting occurs when the Tapeworm (the economy and government run by governments and central banks for the banks and their owners) slowly consumes its victims, bleeding them bit by bit until consumed. Think of a vampire keeping its victim alive to make the meal longer and more thorough, or a spider slowly sucking the life juices out of the enwebbed fly.
For instance, the United States imprisons more people than any other country. Keeping prisoners has been turned into an industry that pays the criminal justice system and the prison industry (a lot of it privatized, remember, and contracted) and provides jobs for all those folks. Inmates are slowly consumed as they travel through the revolving door of prison and outside, until finally, having squeezed all possible juice out of them, the system discards them.
I don't know all the details, but part of Greece's surrender requires them to escrow 50 billion euros in a liquidation fund. Europresident Jeroen Dijsselbloem said, "It still is going to be an independent fund, valued at 50 billion euros which can be airplanes, airports, infrastructure, and most certainly banks. . . They will be brought in with the target to privatize those in coming years, but we will take our time for that."
I'm only a durned nat'ral born fool from Tennessee, but I've seen "privatization" before. It is a type of "harvesting" where state owned assets are sold off to Insiders at bargain basement, nickel-on-the-dollar prices, under cover of "freeing" the market. Yes, that's right, it's a corporate takeover. The Euros are asset-stripping Greece. Having enslaved it by debt, they are now "harvesting" the country entire, asset stripping it. And y'all thought slavery was dead -- now they're enslaving whole countries. There really is no limit to Our Masters' gall.
Oh, mercy! After I wrote the above this morning, a Greek friend sent me this article from ekathimerini.com describing the bailout, http://bit.ly/1K4QvZw It's all far worse than I thought. The Euros have literally seized control of the country and its government. They've re-poed the whole country.
|US Dollar Index|
It really frustrates me to see market after market behaving abnormally. They break out, then utterly refuse to carry through. Take, for example, the US dollar index on the right.
The Dollar index broke out topside of an even-sided triangle on 7 July, strong breakout, influenced by the Greek drama. Next day it tucks tail and runs back into the triangle. It breaks out again. Tucks tail again. Breaks out again, even on news of a Greek settlement, then breaks down today.
Now maybe that's nature working, but doesn't seem so when it plays out against the backdrop of a long, strong rise, making the last 4 months look like a consolidation in an uptrend. I'm not saying this is the explanation, but it would exactly that same way if the central bank NGM were manipulating the dollar's exchange rate downward.
But the same failure to follow through has also happened in stocks and in silver and gold prices. Maybe the confusion and indecision is so widespread that no market (except sometimes stocks) can build much momentum.
Makes me want to throw up my hands and shout, "It's all bogus!"
Today the US dollar index made a key reversal's first half, trading into new territory for the move but closing lower than yesterday. That would have to be followed by a lower close tomorrow to confirm the reversal. Dollar index lost 21 basis points (0.22%) to 96.78.
Euro rose a miniscule 0.5% to $1.1011. Couldn't rally if you filled its tank with jet fuel. Properly chastened for attempting to rally, the yen is cowering under its 20 DMA. Lost 0.07% today to 81.04.
US ten year note yield has retraced its steps to the downtrend line from 2007. 'Twould be hernias and kidney stones for the Fed if the yield breaks above that and bursts the bond bubble.
In this best of all possible worlds, as Candide would say, stocks are a-blowin' and a-goin'. Dow crawled over 18,000 again, rising 75.9 points (0.42%) to end at 18,053.58. Not to be outdone, the S&P500 rose 9.35 (0.45%) to 2,108.95. The pattern? Broadening tops within broadening tops, emphasizing and re-emphasizing that stocks are rolling over.
|Dow in Gold|
|Dow in Silver|
Dow in silver rose 1.27% to 1176.51 oz. Same picture as with gold:
Aurum et argentum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.
- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
© 2015, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.
WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:
Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.
NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.
NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.
NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.
What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.
One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.