Monday, December 30, 2013

The Gold Price Gave Back $11 Closing at $1,203.10

Gold Price Close Today : 1203.10
Change : -11.00 or -0.91%

Silver Price Close Today : 19.581
Change : -0.432 or -2.16%

Gold Silver Ratio Today : 61.442
Change : 0.777 or 1.28%

Silver Gold Ratio Today : 0.01628
Change : -0.000208 or -1.26%

Platinum Price Close Today : 1364.00
Change : -12.00 or -0.87%

Palladium Price Close Today : 709.90
Change : -1.15 or -0.16%

S&P 500 : 1,847.07
Change : -0.33 or -0.02%

Dow In GOLD$ : $283.58
Change : $ 3.01 or 1.07%

Dow in GOLD oz : 13.718
Change : 0.146 or 1.07%

Dow in SILVER oz : 842.87
Change : 19.49 or 2.37%

Dow Industrial : 16,504.29
Change : 25.88 or 0.16%

US Dollar Index : 80.170
Change : -0.330 or -0.41%

Today silver and GOLD PRICES gave back all Friday's gains. The gold price shrank $11 to $1203.10 while the silver price faded 43.2 cents to 1958.1c. The GOLD PRICE continues to dance around and now below an internal resistance/support line from the April low, while it remains above the downtrend line from the May high. Main point to observe is that it has not yet given any solid signal of turning up. Absent a close above $1,220 expect more downside.

The SILVER PRICE has the mildest of uptrends going, with double bottoms early in December and mid-December. Needs to stay above 1930c to maintain even that mediocre uptrend. A close over 2050c would signal an uptrend.

We're still walking through doll-house markets, so thin you could poke your finger through the walls. Dangerous to draw many conclusions from these.

Dow made another new all-time closing high today, although not an intraday high. That came Friday at 16,529.01. Oddly enough, with the Dow closing up 25.88 at 16,504.29, all the other indices fell. S&P lost 0.33 or 0.02% to 1,841.07. That negates the chance for a key reversal in the Dow, but not in the S&P500.

What can you say about markets climbing a wall? Stay out of their way. No telling where they will go or when they will break.

Silver and gold prices were slapped silly today, so the Dow in Gold and Dow in Silver rose. DiG added 0.98% to 13.71 oz, a new high for the move. DiS didn't quite make a new high, 841.41 oz against the last high at 841.56 oz. Both moved up and away from their 20 day moving averages, first tripwire of a downturn. I keep looking at these charts and seeing a near completed move, but there's nothing to confirm that.

Scabrous US dollar stabbed its fans in the back again today, falling 33 basis points (0.42%) to 80.17. It crumpled at the downtrend line like Count Dracula facing a crucifix. I keep on reading analysts calling for a higher dollar, but I can't find anything here even as inspiring as drinking a cup of coffee and finding a drowned fly at the bottom. Worse, the Dollar Index has formed a falling triangle, and those most often break out to the downside.

Euro tempered its excitement today and traded in a smaller range but with a higher close. Gained 0.37% to $1.3800, right on the downtrend line. Let's see what happens when the Big Boys return on 2 January to scatter all these thin market chiselers.

Yen rose a little today, about like frost heaving the ground over a grave. Up 0.4% to 95.13 cents/Y100. Only question is, what's keeping it even that high?

Ten year treasury yield closed at 2.976% today. Friday saw the highest interest rate since July 2011. Higher rates mean trouble for the Fed on the same scale as the La Brea tarpit for a saber-toothed tiger.

On 30 December 1861 US banks suspended convertibility of their paper money into gold or silver. This was so much fun (for the banks) that it continued until 1879.

Y'all think now. What other business, other than banking, could default on its most solemn contract yet remain in business? If any of the rest of us tried that, we'd go to jail, but now the bankers, our new nobility, are Too Big To Jail. In the US we have a very advanced legal system, with two complete sets of laws: one for the banks, then one for us peasants. Pass the gruel.

Argentum et aurum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
The-MoneyChanger.com

© 2013, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.